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    Oman Launches First Rutab Festival to Celebrate Heritage, Farming and Tourism

    Oman Launches First Rutab Festival to Celebrate Heritage, Farming and Tourism

    Green Certifications: A Strategic Imperative for GCC Food Producers

    Green Certifications: A Strategic Imperative for GCC Food Producers

    UAE Highlights Sustainable Breakthroughs in Cloud-Seeding Technology

    UAE Highlights Sustainable Breakthroughs in Cloud-Seeding Technology

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    Ethical Food Market Outlook 2025–2034: Size, Growth, Trends & Forecast

    Oman Grants Licences to 24 Integrated Aquaculture Farms in 2024

    Oman Grants Licences to 24 Integrated Aquaculture Farms in 2024

    Global Agrifood Systems Require $1.1 Trillion Annually to Achieve Sustainability Goals by 2030

    Global Agrifood Systems Require $1.1 Trillion Annually to Achieve Sustainability Goals by 2030

    FAO Report Highlights Severe Agricultural Land Degradation Across the Arab Region

    FAO Report Highlights Severe Agricultural Land Degradation Across the Arab Region

    Oman: Over 250 Model Farms Drive Fruit Production Growth in Dhahirah

    Oman: Over 250 Model Farms Drive Fruit Production Growth in Dhahirah

    Africa: From Food Importer to Global Powerhouse

    Africa: From Food Importer to Global Powerhouse

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      Saudi Arabia’s PPR Pipes Market to Reach 34,119 Tons by 2033, Driven by Sustainability, Infrastructure Expansion, and Water Conservation Efforts

      Saudi Arabia’s PPR Pipes Market to Reach 34,119 Tons by 2033, Driven by Sustainability, Infrastructure Expansion, and Water Conservation Efforts

      UAE Launches New AI-Powered Strategic Planning Cycle Aligned with 2031 Vision

      UAE Launches New AI-Powered Strategic Planning Cycle Aligned with 2031 Vision

      Oman’s GDP Expands 4.7% on Non-Oil Sector Growth

      Oman’s GDP Expands 4.7% on Non-Oil Sector Growth

      Qatar’s Booming Consumer Electronics Market Sets the Stage for ConsumerTeQ 2025

      Qatar’s Booming Consumer Electronics Market Sets the Stage for ConsumerTeQ 2025

      Middle East Gaming Market to Surpass $42 Billion by 2033, Driven by Youth Demand and Mobile Adoption

      Middle East Gaming Market to Surpass $42 Billion by 2033, Driven by Youth Demand and Mobile Adoption

      Emerging Trends Reshape GCC’s Rapidly Growing Retail Sector

      Emerging Trends Reshape GCC’s Rapidly Growing Retail Sector

      Consumer Electronics Boom Continues Across GCC, Middle East

      Consumer Electronics Boom Continues Across GCC, Middle East

      Qatar’s Consumer Electronics Market Set for Steady Growth Driven by Premium Demand and Digital Transformation

      Qatar’s Consumer Electronics Market Set for Steady Growth Driven by Premium Demand and Digital Transformation

      Oman Signs $520 Million Salt Mining Deal as Part of Mining Sector Expansion

      Oman Signs $520 Million Salt Mining Deal as Part of Mining Sector Expansion

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        Qatar’s Construction Sector Poised for Transformation, Says New Report

        Qatar’s Construction Sector Poised for Transformation, Says New Report

        Jeddah Tower Set to Claim Title of World’s Tallest Building

        Jeddah Tower Set to Claim Title of World’s Tallest Building

        UAE Highlights Sustainable Breakthroughs in Cloud-Seeding Technology

        UAE Highlights Sustainable Breakthroughs in Cloud-Seeding Technology

        Iraq to Establish Four New Desalination Plants in Basra

        Iraq to Establish Four New Desalination Plants in Basra

        Over 111 km of Internal Road Projects Underway in Oman’s Al Dhahirah Municipality

        Over 111 km of Internal Road Projects Underway in Oman’s Al Dhahirah Municipality

        Saudi Arabia’s PPR Pipes Market to Reach 34,119 Tons by 2033, Driven by Sustainability, Infrastructure Expansion, and Water Conservation Efforts

        Saudi Arabia’s PPR Pipes Market to Reach 34,119 Tons by 2033, Driven by Sustainability, Infrastructure Expansion, and Water Conservation Efforts

        Whitewill Expands into Oman’s Real Estate Market Amid Rising Foreign Investment

        Whitewill Expands into Oman’s Real Estate Market Amid Rising Foreign Investment

        Iraq to Develop 60 New Cities to Address Housing Crisis

        Iraq to Develop 60 New Cities to Address Housing Crisis

        Turkey Set to Gain $50 Billion from Major Iraqi Infrastructure Project

        Turkey Set to Gain $50 Billion from Major Iraqi Infrastructure Project

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          Lebanon Moves to Build New Gas Power Plants as Part of Reform Program

          Lebanon Moves to Build New Gas Power Plants as Part of Reform Program

          Turkish Firm ENKA Secures $289M Contract to Upgrade Power Plant in Iraq’s Sulaymaniyah

          Turkish Firm ENKA Secures $289M Contract to Upgrade Power Plant in Iraq’s Sulaymaniyah

          Oman Seeks Bids for Two Major Substation Projects

          Oman Seeks Bids for Two Major Substation Projects

          Iraq Set to Launch First Nuclear Training Reactor in Partnership with China

          Iraq Set to Launch First Nuclear Training Reactor in Partnership with China

          Qatar 2025: From Energy Powerhouse to Innovation Leader

          Qatar 2025: From Energy Powerhouse to Innovation Leader

          Iraq Aims for 12 GW of Renewable Energy by 2030

          Iraq Aims for 12 GW of Renewable Energy by 2030

          Iraq Launches Ambitious Plan for 1,000 Solar Projects in Three Years

          Iraq Launches Ambitious Plan for 1,000 Solar Projects in Three Years

          Iraq and Power China International Sign Deal to Strengthen National Power Grid

          Iraq and Power China International Sign Deal to Strengthen National Power Grid

          Qatar Adds 875 MW in Solar Power, Boosts Renewable Energy Push

          Qatar Adds 875 MW in Solar Power, Boosts Renewable Energy Push

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            Middle East Pharma Market Set to Reach $36 Billion by 2028 as GCC Drives Innovation and Local Production

            Qatar Medicare 2025 Returns to Doha as the Premier International Healthcare Platform

            Qatar Medicare 2025 Returns to Doha as the Premier International Healthcare Platform

            Qatar’s Health Spending Set to Climb 14% by 2029

            Qatar’s Health Spending Set to Climb 14% by 2029

            Qatar Precision Health Institute and Qatar Foundation’s Pre-University Education Expand Collaboration to Inspire Future Scientists

            Qatar Precision Health Institute and Qatar Foundation’s Pre-University Education Expand Collaboration to Inspire Future Scientists

            Qatar and the UK Explore Deeper Cooperation in Healthcare

            Qatar and the UK Explore Deeper Cooperation in Healthcare

            The View Hospital Becomes Qatar’s First Private Facility with a Dedicated Dialysis Unit

            The View Hospital Becomes Qatar’s First Private Facility with a Dedicated Dialysis Unit

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            Qatar’s Ambulance System Sets Global Benchmark with Cutting-Edge Pre-Hospital Care

            Sidra Medicine Pioneers Holistic, Culturally Sensitive Fertility Care in Qatar

            Sidra Medicine Pioneers Holistic, Culturally Sensitive Fertility Care in Qatar

            Hamad Medical Corporation Receives Global Recognition with JCI Accreditation

            Hamad Medical Corporation Receives Global Recognition with JCI Accreditation

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              Oman Launches First Rutab Festival to Celebrate Heritage, Farming and Tourism

              Oman Launches First Rutab Festival to Celebrate Heritage, Farming and Tourism

              Saudi Arabia Leads Middle East’s Strategic Push into $600 Billion Global Sports Economy

              Saudi Arabia Leads Middle East’s Strategic Push into $600 Billion Global Sports Economy

              Global Tourism Set to Reach 30 Billion Trips and $16 Trillion GDP by 2034

              Global Tourism Set to Reach 30 Billion Trips and $16 Trillion GDP by 2034

              Oman Awards Over $600 Million in Contracts for Tourism Expansion

              Oman Awards Over $600 Million in Contracts for Tourism Expansion

              Qatar Expands Role as a Leading Global Tourism Destination

              Qatar Expands Role as a Leading Global Tourism Destination

              Saudi Arabia Welcomes Record 116 Million Tourists in 2024, Spending Reaches $76 Billion

              Saudi Arabia Welcomes Record 116 Million Tourists in 2024, Spending Reaches $76 Billion

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              Oman Secures $6.7 Billion in Tourism Investments Toward $7.8 Billion Goal by 2025

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              Oman Unveils 3-Kilometer Tourist Walkway in Nakhal: A Transformative Step for Local Tourism

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              Middle East’s Schengen Style GCC Tourist Visa Approved, to be Rolled Out ‘Soon’

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                Technological and Sustainable Innovation Drives Growth in Digital Printing

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                Middle East Pharma Market Set to Reach $36 Billion by 2028 as GCC Drives Innovation and Local Production

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                Oman’s Manufacturing Sector Adds $10 Billion to the National Economy

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                Abu Dhabi’s Aldar Targets 87% Construction Waste Recycling In 2025 Sustainability Push

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                Qatar Strengthens Circular Economy with Expansion of Recycling Facilities

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                Food Tech Market Set to Reach $224.31B by 2032, Powered by Smart Kitchens and Sustainable Innovation

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                Packaging Becomes Lifeline for Struggling Print Industry

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                MENA’s Coated Printing and Writing Paper Market Forecast to Grow 1.6% Annually Through 2035

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                Oman Recycles 2.4 Million Tonnes of Construction Waste in 2024

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                  Technological and Sustainable Innovation Drives Growth in Digital Printing

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                  UAE Launches New AI-Powered Strategic Planning Cycle Aligned with 2031 Vision

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                  Dubai Launches Region’s First PropTech Hub to Back 200 Startups by 2030

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                  Qatar’s Booming Consumer Electronics Market Sets the Stage for ConsumerTeQ 2025

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                  Consumer Electronics Boom Continues Across GCC, Middle East

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                  Qatar’s Consumer Electronics Market Set for Steady Growth Driven by Premium Demand and Digital Transformation

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                  The Top 10 Emerging Technologies for 2025

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                  Saudi Arabia’s ICT Spending Tops $10 Billion: Key Trends and What’s Ahead

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                  GCC Drone Market to Surpass USD 2 Billion by 2033, Driven by Tech Innovation and Industry Demand

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                    Iraq to Establish Four New Desalination Plants in Basra

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                    Over 111 km of Internal Road Projects Underway in Oman’s Al Dhahirah Municipality

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                    Saudi Arabia Leads Middle East’s Strategic Push into $600 Billion Global Sports Economy

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                    Saudi Arabia’s PPR Pipes Market to Reach 34,119 Tons by 2033, Driven by Sustainability, Infrastructure Expansion, and Water Conservation Efforts

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                    Iraq to Open Three Major Airports in 2025

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                    Turkey Set to Gain $50 Billion from Major Iraqi Infrastructure Project

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                    Major Road Infrastructure Upgrades Underway in Oman’s Dhofar Governorate

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                    Baghdad Metro Project Moves Forward Under New Implementation Strategy

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                    Iraq Launches New US$930 Million Railway Project to Strengthen Connectivity and Drive Economic Growth

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                      Oman Launches First Rutab Festival to Celebrate Heritage, Farming and Tourism

                      Oman Launches First Rutab Festival to Celebrate Heritage, Farming and Tourism

                      Green Certifications: A Strategic Imperative for GCC Food Producers

                      Green Certifications: A Strategic Imperative for GCC Food Producers

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                      UAE Highlights Sustainable Breakthroughs in Cloud-Seeding Technology

                      Ethical Food Market Outlook 2025–2034: Size, Growth, Trends & Forecast

                      Ethical Food Market Outlook 2025–2034: Size, Growth, Trends & Forecast

                      Oman Grants Licences to 24 Integrated Aquaculture Farms in 2024

                      Oman Grants Licences to 24 Integrated Aquaculture Farms in 2024

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                      Global Agrifood Systems Require $1.1 Trillion Annually to Achieve Sustainability Goals by 2030

                      FAO Report Highlights Severe Agricultural Land Degradation Across the Arab Region

                      FAO Report Highlights Severe Agricultural Land Degradation Across the Arab Region

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                      Oman: Over 250 Model Farms Drive Fruit Production Growth in Dhahirah

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                      Africa: From Food Importer to Global Powerhouse

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                        Saudi Arabia’s PPR Pipes Market to Reach 34,119 Tons by 2033, Driven by Sustainability, Infrastructure Expansion, and Water Conservation Efforts

                        Saudi Arabia’s PPR Pipes Market to Reach 34,119 Tons by 2033, Driven by Sustainability, Infrastructure Expansion, and Water Conservation Efforts

                        UAE Launches New AI-Powered Strategic Planning Cycle Aligned with 2031 Vision

                        UAE Launches New AI-Powered Strategic Planning Cycle Aligned with 2031 Vision

                        Oman’s GDP Expands 4.7% on Non-Oil Sector Growth

                        Oman’s GDP Expands 4.7% on Non-Oil Sector Growth

                        Qatar’s Booming Consumer Electronics Market Sets the Stage for ConsumerTeQ 2025

                        Qatar’s Booming Consumer Electronics Market Sets the Stage for ConsumerTeQ 2025

                        Middle East Gaming Market to Surpass $42 Billion by 2033, Driven by Youth Demand and Mobile Adoption

                        Middle East Gaming Market to Surpass $42 Billion by 2033, Driven by Youth Demand and Mobile Adoption

                        Emerging Trends Reshape GCC’s Rapidly Growing Retail Sector

                        Emerging Trends Reshape GCC’s Rapidly Growing Retail Sector

                        Consumer Electronics Boom Continues Across GCC, Middle East

                        Consumer Electronics Boom Continues Across GCC, Middle East

                        Qatar’s Consumer Electronics Market Set for Steady Growth Driven by Premium Demand and Digital Transformation

                        Qatar’s Consumer Electronics Market Set for Steady Growth Driven by Premium Demand and Digital Transformation

                        Oman Signs $520 Million Salt Mining Deal as Part of Mining Sector Expansion

                        Oman Signs $520 Million Salt Mining Deal as Part of Mining Sector Expansion

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                          Qatar’s Construction Sector Poised for Transformation, Says New Report

                          Jeddah Tower Set to Claim Title of World’s Tallest Building

                          Jeddah Tower Set to Claim Title of World’s Tallest Building

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                          UAE Highlights Sustainable Breakthroughs in Cloud-Seeding Technology

                          Iraq to Establish Four New Desalination Plants in Basra

                          Iraq to Establish Four New Desalination Plants in Basra

                          Over 111 km of Internal Road Projects Underway in Oman’s Al Dhahirah Municipality

                          Over 111 km of Internal Road Projects Underway in Oman’s Al Dhahirah Municipality

                          Saudi Arabia’s PPR Pipes Market to Reach 34,119 Tons by 2033, Driven by Sustainability, Infrastructure Expansion, and Water Conservation Efforts

                          Saudi Arabia’s PPR Pipes Market to Reach 34,119 Tons by 2033, Driven by Sustainability, Infrastructure Expansion, and Water Conservation Efforts

                          Whitewill Expands into Oman’s Real Estate Market Amid Rising Foreign Investment

                          Whitewill Expands into Oman’s Real Estate Market Amid Rising Foreign Investment

                          Iraq to Develop 60 New Cities to Address Housing Crisis

                          Iraq to Develop 60 New Cities to Address Housing Crisis

                          Turkey Set to Gain $50 Billion from Major Iraqi Infrastructure Project

                          Turkey Set to Gain $50 Billion from Major Iraqi Infrastructure Project

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                            Lebanon Moves to Build New Gas Power Plants as Part of Reform Program

                            Lebanon Moves to Build New Gas Power Plants as Part of Reform Program

                            Turkish Firm ENKA Secures $289M Contract to Upgrade Power Plant in Iraq’s Sulaymaniyah

                            Turkish Firm ENKA Secures $289M Contract to Upgrade Power Plant in Iraq’s Sulaymaniyah

                            Oman Seeks Bids for Two Major Substation Projects

                            Oman Seeks Bids for Two Major Substation Projects

                            Iraq Set to Launch First Nuclear Training Reactor in Partnership with China

                            Iraq Set to Launch First Nuclear Training Reactor in Partnership with China

                            Qatar 2025: From Energy Powerhouse to Innovation Leader

                            Qatar 2025: From Energy Powerhouse to Innovation Leader

                            Iraq Aims for 12 GW of Renewable Energy by 2030

                            Iraq Aims for 12 GW of Renewable Energy by 2030

                            Iraq Launches Ambitious Plan for 1,000 Solar Projects in Three Years

                            Iraq Launches Ambitious Plan for 1,000 Solar Projects in Three Years

                            Iraq and Power China International Sign Deal to Strengthen National Power Grid

                            Iraq and Power China International Sign Deal to Strengthen National Power Grid

                            Qatar Adds 875 MW in Solar Power, Boosts Renewable Energy Push

                            Qatar Adds 875 MW in Solar Power, Boosts Renewable Energy Push

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                              Middle East Pharma Market Set to Reach $36 Billion by 2028 as GCC Drives Innovation and Local Production

                              Qatar Medicare 2025 Returns to Doha as the Premier International Healthcare Platform

                              Qatar Medicare 2025 Returns to Doha as the Premier International Healthcare Platform

                              Qatar’s Health Spending Set to Climb 14% by 2029

                              Qatar’s Health Spending Set to Climb 14% by 2029

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                              Qatar Precision Health Institute and Qatar Foundation’s Pre-University Education Expand Collaboration to Inspire Future Scientists

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                              Qatar and the UK Explore Deeper Cooperation in Healthcare

                              The View Hospital Becomes Qatar’s First Private Facility with a Dedicated Dialysis Unit

                              The View Hospital Becomes Qatar’s First Private Facility with a Dedicated Dialysis Unit

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                              Qatar’s Ambulance System Sets Global Benchmark with Cutting-Edge Pre-Hospital Care

                              Sidra Medicine Pioneers Holistic, Culturally Sensitive Fertility Care in Qatar

                              Sidra Medicine Pioneers Holistic, Culturally Sensitive Fertility Care in Qatar

                              Hamad Medical Corporation Receives Global Recognition with JCI Accreditation

                              Hamad Medical Corporation Receives Global Recognition with JCI Accreditation

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                                Oman Launches First Rutab Festival to Celebrate Heritage, Farming and Tourism

                                Saudi Arabia Leads Middle East’s Strategic Push into $600 Billion Global Sports Economy

                                Saudi Arabia Leads Middle East’s Strategic Push into $600 Billion Global Sports Economy

                                Global Tourism Set to Reach 30 Billion Trips and $16 Trillion GDP by 2034

                                Global Tourism Set to Reach 30 Billion Trips and $16 Trillion GDP by 2034

                                Oman Awards Over $600 Million in Contracts for Tourism Expansion

                                Oman Awards Over $600 Million in Contracts for Tourism Expansion

                                Qatar Expands Role as a Leading Global Tourism Destination

                                Qatar Expands Role as a Leading Global Tourism Destination

                                Saudi Arabia Welcomes Record 116 Million Tourists in 2024, Spending Reaches $76 Billion

                                Saudi Arabia Welcomes Record 116 Million Tourists in 2024, Spending Reaches $76 Billion

                                Oman Secures $6.7 Billion in Tourism Investments Toward $7.8 Billion Goal by 2025

                                Oman Secures $6.7 Billion in Tourism Investments Toward $7.8 Billion Goal by 2025

                                Oman Unveils 3-Kilometer Tourist Walkway in Nakhal: A Transformative Step for Local Tourism

                                Oman Unveils 3-Kilometer Tourist Walkway in Nakhal: A Transformative Step for Local Tourism

                                Middle East’s Schengen Style GCC Tourist Visa Approved, to be Rolled Out ‘Soon’

                                Middle East’s Schengen Style GCC Tourist Visa Approved, to be Rolled Out ‘Soon’

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                                  Technological and Sustainable Innovation Drives Growth in Digital Printing

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                                  Middle East Pharma Market Set to Reach $36 Billion by 2028 as GCC Drives Innovation and Local Production

                                  Oman’s Manufacturing Sector Adds $10 Billion to the National Economy

                                  Oman’s Manufacturing Sector Adds $10 Billion to the National Economy

                                  Abu Dhabi’s Aldar Targets 87% Construction Waste Recycling In 2025 Sustainability Push

                                  Abu Dhabi’s Aldar Targets 87% Construction Waste Recycling In 2025 Sustainability Push

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                                  Qatar Strengthens Circular Economy with Expansion of Recycling Facilities

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                                  Food Tech Market Set to Reach $224.31B by 2032, Powered by Smart Kitchens and Sustainable Innovation

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                                  Packaging Becomes Lifeline for Struggling Print Industry

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                                  MENA’s Coated Printing and Writing Paper Market Forecast to Grow 1.6% Annually Through 2035

                                  Oman Recycles 2.4 Million Tonnes of Construction Waste in 2024

                                  Oman Recycles 2.4 Million Tonnes of Construction Waste in 2024

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                                    Technological and Sustainable Innovation Drives Growth in Digital Printing

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                                    UAE Launches New AI-Powered Strategic Planning Cycle Aligned with 2031 Vision

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                                    Dubai Launches Region’s First PropTech Hub to Back 200 Startups by 2030

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                                    Qatar’s Booming Consumer Electronics Market Sets the Stage for ConsumerTeQ 2025

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                                    Consumer Electronics Boom Continues Across GCC, Middle East

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                                    Qatar’s Consumer Electronics Market Set for Steady Growth Driven by Premium Demand and Digital Transformation

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                                    The Top 10 Emerging Technologies for 2025

                                    Saudi Arabia’s ICT Spending Tops $10 Billion: Key Trends and What’s Ahead

                                    Saudi Arabia’s ICT Spending Tops $10 Billion: Key Trends and What’s Ahead

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                                    GCC Drone Market to Surpass USD 2 Billion by 2033, Driven by Tech Innovation and Industry Demand

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                                      Iraq to Establish Four New Desalination Plants in Basra

                                      Iraq to Establish Four New Desalination Plants in Basra

                                      Over 111 km of Internal Road Projects Underway in Oman’s Al Dhahirah Municipality

                                      Over 111 km of Internal Road Projects Underway in Oman’s Al Dhahirah Municipality

                                      Saudi Arabia Leads Middle East’s Strategic Push into $600 Billion Global Sports Economy

                                      Saudi Arabia Leads Middle East’s Strategic Push into $600 Billion Global Sports Economy

                                      Saudi Arabia’s PPR Pipes Market to Reach 34,119 Tons by 2033, Driven by Sustainability, Infrastructure Expansion, and Water Conservation Efforts

                                      Saudi Arabia’s PPR Pipes Market to Reach 34,119 Tons by 2033, Driven by Sustainability, Infrastructure Expansion, and Water Conservation Efforts

                                      Iraq to Open Three Major Airports in 2025

                                      Iraq to Open Three Major Airports in 2025

                                      Turkey Set to Gain $50 Billion from Major Iraqi Infrastructure Project

                                      Turkey Set to Gain $50 Billion from Major Iraqi Infrastructure Project

                                      Major Road Infrastructure Upgrades Underway in Oman’s Dhofar Governorate

                                      Major Road Infrastructure Upgrades Underway in Oman’s Dhofar Governorate

                                      Baghdad Metro Project Moves Forward Under New Implementation Strategy

                                      Baghdad Metro Project Moves Forward Under New Implementation Strategy

                                      Iraq Launches New US$930 Million Railway Project to Strengthen Connectivity and Drive Economic Growth

                                      Iraq Launches New US$930 Million Railway Project to Strengthen Connectivity and Drive Economic Growth

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                                      Home Business & Economy Economy

                                      Kuwait budget surplus may reach $46 billion

                                      NBK Economic Report

                                      November 29, 2013
                                      in Economy, Oil & Gas
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                                      Oil prices have eased back through October and early November, with some benchmarks reaching 5-month lows. The price of Kuwait Export Crude (KEC) slipped from $107 per barrel (pb) in mid- October to $101 in the first week of November, its lowest since early July. Brent crude prices followed a similar pattern, falling from $112 in early October to under $103 – some $14 below its end-August peak. The price of the main US benchmark – West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – witnessed larger declines, falling by more than $16 from its early September peak of $111. WTI prices fell below $100 pb for the first time in more than 3 months. Accordingly, WTI’s discount to Brent widened from $1 in mid-July to as high as $12 in late October.

                                      An easing of tensions in the Middle East has contributed to recent price declines. Negotiations between the West and Iran surrounding the latter’s nuclear program have reduced the political factors that have elevated oil prices this year. This follows the US backing-off from military intervention in Syria in the previous month. Western sanctions have taken an estimated 1 million barrels per day (mbpd) of Iranian crude off the oil market, and oil prices have reacted to the prospects of an easing of these sanctions.

                                      Rising crude inventories in the US have also added to downward pressure on prices. Weakening demand from US refineries – due to seasonal maintenance – and rising US oil production have led to a rapid climb in crude stockpiles. This also explains why WTI prices have fallen more sharply than other benchmark crudes in recent weeks. Strong global oil supplies have also helped maintain downward pressure on prices. Non-OPEC supplies have continued to surge, while elevated production levels in the GCC have partly offset supply disruptions in other OPEC countries. OPEC members, scheduled to meet in Vienna on December 4th, are expected to keep the organization’s output target at 30 mbpd – slightly below the current production level.

                                      Oil demand outlook
                                      Analysts’ forecasts for global oil demand growth this year have converged over the past month towards a slightly improved outlook, with a marginal acceleration in 2014.

                                      The International Energy Agency (IEA) now sees demand growing by 1 million barrels per day (mbpd), or 1.1 percent, this year from 0.9 mbpd (1.0 percent) last month – in line with the forecasts of the Center for Global Energy Studies. This mostly reflects better-than-expected economic data for 3Q 2013. For 2014, the consensus view for global oil demand growth remains unchanged at 1.1 mbpd (1.2 percent), consisting of a 0.3 mbpd fall in demand from developed countries and a 1.4 mbpd rise in demand from developing countries. Taken together, China and the Middle East account for more than half of the increase in demand for the world as a whole.

                                      Oil supply outlook
                                      Crude output of the OPEC-11 (excluding Iraq) fell by a significant 494,000 bpd to 28.6 mbpd in September, according to data provided by ‘direct communication’ between OPEC and national sources. Major declines were witnessed in sanction-constrained Iran (200,000 bpd), Libya (190,000 bpd) and Nigeria (144,000 bpd). Libyan production continues to be curtailed by ongoing labor disputes and the subsequent shut down of fields and ports. Output fell to 0.4 mbpd – more than 1 mbpd below the post-war high reached in October of last year. Saudi Arabian production was also down by 67,000 bpd in September, though output was maintained at above 10 mbpd for the third consecutive month – partly related to the start-up of the new Jubail refinery.

                                      The largest decline in OPEC came from Iraq, which pushed down the organization’s total output to its lowest level in almost two years. Iraqi production fell 374,000 bpd to an 18-month low of 2.8 mbpd in September. The drop was due to maintenance works at southern ports, which are likely to have continued through mid-October, in addition to forced production cuts at major fields following a leak in a key oil pipeline.

                                      Non-OPEC oil supplies are projected to increase by a significant 1.5 mbpd for 2013 as a whole, of which one-quarter is due to come from OPEC natural gas liquids. Non-OPEC supply growth has come from North America, the Former Soviet Union and Africa – the latter related to the ramp-up of output from South Sudan. If OPEC output remains at current levels, OPEC output is on track to fall on average this year and global supplies should increase by less than 1 mbpd. Next year, global supplies could rise more significantly on the back of even stronger growth in non-OPEC output.

                                      Price projections
                                      Despite an improving demand outlook in 2014, large increases in non-OPEC output could cause supply to exceed demand again, forcing OPEC to cut production in order to keep prices above $100 pb. Using the consensus forecast of a 1.1 mbpd increase in global oil demand in 2014 and a large 1.7 mbpd increase in non-OPEC supplies, global inventories could rise by 0.5 mbpd.
                                      Despite OPEC production cuts in early 2014, the price of KEC would gradually slip from $106 in 4Q 2013 to $100 by end of 2014. If, on the other hand, the rise in non-OPEC supplies turns out 0.3 mbpd stronger than expected next year, then inventories could rise by a larger 0.8 mbpd and prices could be set on a steep downward path. In this case, the price of KEC declines to under $100 by mid-2014 and below $90 by end-year. Alternatively, a 0.3 mbpd shortfall in non-OPEC supply growth next year – possibly from slower-than expected growth in North American production – could see oil prices rise sharply.

                                      In this scenario, the price of KEC accelerates from under $110 in the second half to above $120 by end of 2014. These last two scenarios would likely prompt OPEC to adjust its output in order to prevent prices moving too far in either direction.

                                      Budget projections
                                      The three scenarios above generate oil prices in the narrow range of $103 to $105 in the current fiscal year, with the impact on prices largely felt next year. Although oil prices may average lower than last year’s $107, higher production is expected to keep government revenues flat or slightly above the previous year. If government spending, as expected, comes in 5-10 percent below its official target of KD 21.0 billion, the budget would see a surplus of between KD 12.0 billion and KD 13.6 billion before allocations to the RFFG. This would equate to 24 percent-27 percent of forecast 2013 GDP, and would represent Kuwait’s 15th consecutive budget surplus.
                                      NBK Economic Report
                                      29 November

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